Tuesday, April 16, 2019

2019 Mock Draft 1.0


Mock Draft 1.0
Rules: I’m not going to do trades this year because they are so impossible to predict. I am trying to make the prediction of what I think the team will take based on personal research, 30 visits, and gut feeling.
1.      Arizona Cardinals - QB Kyler Murray, Oklahoma: 2 years in a row a Sooner QB is drafted first overall. Sam Bradford would be proud. Honestly though, I feel bad for Josh Rosen. As a Cardinals fan though, I’m excited. This pick should signal the high-flying offense that was the exact opposite as last year. The future looks bright for this team.
2.      San Francisco 49ers – Edge Nick Bosa, Ohio State: I don’t think he is the best player in the draft. Nor do I think that Kyler is. But regardless, the 49ers go with the best EDGE player available and the family name that has dominated the NFL for some time.
3.      New York Jets – Edge Josh Allen, Kentucky: Still not the best player in this draft class. However, the Jets don’t need that position. But you pair a young DL stud to go with their young QB for the next 12 years and I’m kinda not happy that the Jets are in my division anymore.
4.      Oakland Raiders – DT Quinnen Williams, Alabama – THE RAIDAAAAZ somehow get the best player in this draft at 4. This guy isn’t your Aaron Donald type but he is easily your Suh and is probably better than him. I have a really hard time finding someone that has any complaint about him. He can’t replace Mack but he will make an impact that is uncommon at the DT position.
5.      Tampa Bay Buccaneers – DE Rashan Gary, Michigan: Honestly… I have no idea what happens at this pick. There is a need now at LB so Devin White from LSU would fit here. They could pick from either Sweat or Gary here but I am going off the fact that they have done some serious looking at Gary per WalterFootball.com. It’s not like you can ever have enough pass rushers either and the potential here is off the charts. But a lot of people complain that while the potential is there and that Michigan didn’t play the scheme for him to be successful, it is somewhat noteworthy that there is virtually no good tape to be able to back this top 5 pick up.
6.      New York Giants – QB Daniel Jones, Duke: God I hope I’m wrong here and that the smoke screens are just fooling me because as a Dolphins fan I know how this one goes. This guy is Ryan Tannehill 2.0. Surprisngly mobile, not incredibly accurate, not a great deep ball. His teammates had a ton of drops so people will point to that but I just want to see more out of the 2nd QB taken and am confused as to why it isn’t Haskins or Lock. Though Daniel Jones or Haskins does kinda remind me of Eli to an extent.
7.      Jacksonville Jaguars – OT Jawaan Taylor, Florida: This seems to be a unanimous pick here. Jacksonville is still on board with continuing to beef up this team so they can run down their throat and protect their new franchise QB. Jawaan will fill a void on the right side of that line and is definitely a tackle where some people guess about that with Jonah Williams.
8.      Detroit Lions – DE Montez Sweat, Mississippi St: This pick makes a ton of sense. First, probably the best guy on the board still. Second, “aww man we just lost Ansah, we gotta fill that void. Oh hi Montez!” Sweat looks like a workout warrior and a beast, my only worry is how much of that was a product of another beast on that DL Jeffery Simmons eating up multiple blockers. Solid, safe, smart pick here.
9.      Buffalo Bills – OT Jonah Williams, Alabama: This pick is a tough one too. This feels like a OL or DL pick. Buffalo also wants to be a ground and pound team. They traded their starting tackle last year to the Bengals (Cordy Glenn) and their two DEs are not likely to be on the team in 2020, but I have kinda leaned either Dillard or Williams over Oliver and Co. (see what I did there šŸ˜‰) . At the end of the day though I don’t know if this pick messed up the next few picks because….
10.   Denver Broncos – QB Drew Lock, Missouri: John Elway has been picking up the wrong part of the QB trade for a little bit from Case Keenum to Trevor Siemian to Paxton Lynch and now he brings in Joe “Cool” Flacco. While Flacco while make some great plays this year up in mile high, I expect him to take the Chiefs model and go with what I feel is the 3rd best QB in this draft over Haskins.
11.   Cincinnati Bengals – QB Dwayne Haskins, Ohio St: And it’s not like Haskins will wait very long to hear his name. Only reason I’m not completely sold on this pick is that Zac Taylors introductory press conference was half about raving on Andy Dalton. Not sure why you would sell your soul for Dalton but alas… they did. If Cincy doesn’t take him here, I am very confident that some other team (hint hint Washington) will trade up to get above Miami because they don’t want to take the chance and trading from 15 to 11 isn’t going to be worth the whole ranch.
12.   Green Bay Packers – DT Ed Oliver, Houston: I’m not gonna speculate on this one because to be honest I have no idea what the Packers will do. They have like no official visits that have been reported. They have plenty of defensive needs as always and I’d like to be able to pick an edge here but they didn’t visit with Brian Burns but they did with Ed Oliver who could play various positions for the Green & Gold.
13.   Miami Dolphins – DE Brian Burns, Florida St: Firstly before I say anything about this pick… PLEASE TRADE BACK! Especially if this is how the board falls. Second, the Dolphins I think really want Sweat or Gary and possibly Oliver. They’ve done a lot of work with Sweat and Gary but they won’t trade up to get them. They like the Clemson DL too between Wilkins, Lawrence and Ferrell, I think that Wilkins would be their guy if they go that route. The ONLY reason I am picking Burns here is because a reporter I trust, Armando Salguero, reported that Burns would be his pick based on his college tape and potential vs other kids like Gary that only have potential and no tape. He isn’t the Dolphins and this pick will likely be changed in 2.0 next week, but this is where I land for now.
14.   Atlanta Falcons – CB Jerome Baker, Georgia: One of the biggest needs here is at DB with them losing one of their boundary and slot corners this offseason. Jerome is a local product and if the Falcons let a guy that plays college ball in their backyard get away they may just be kicking themselves. The cornerback big board is different for every team and while I love Greedy Williams, Baker and Murphy might just be a little safer for teams in the middle of the 1st round.
15.   Washington Redskins – WR DK Metcalf, Ole Miss: Let’s be clear here. I am not a fan of DK. He has bust written all over him to me. People will look at his great combine numbers but I keep getting stuck on his 3 cone drill. I really don’t want my 1st round talent WR to be as stiff as a board and not be able to divert from a straight line. No he isn’t a lot and he is good at highpointing the ball, but if it isn’t in his area how is he gonna get there? This pick is honestly just a product of all of the QBs gone and I can see a trade back here if someone really wants Jonah Williams or Andre Dillard.
16.   Carolina Panthers – OL Jonah Williams, Alabama: And the reason they will need to trade up is because Carolina could really use a tackle. Some teams view him as a guard rather than a tackle so it will be interesting to see who takes him and where he plays because he much prefers to be a tackle. That said, when picking between Jonah and Andre, most will go with the sure Alabama prospect rather than a Washington State Cougar.
17.   New York Giants – LB Devin White, Louisiana St: If the Bengals and Broncos both go QB… honestly I’m not sure where the Devin’s fit. Sure White could go to the Bucs to fill a need or even to Detroit or Buffalo… but I just don’t have it here. There are so many great defensive players and LBs have been getting the butt of all the jokes because they don’t sack the quarterback or create interceptions. White is a sideline to sideline guy and will be a stud for the GMen.
18.   Minnesota Vikings – OG/C Garrett Bradbury, North Carolina St: This could be Jonah if he falls but I have a feeling that the Vikings will want to protect their 84 MILLION DOLLAR boy and get back to a ground and pound attack with Dalvin Cook. Bradbury is a mauler upfront and can play guard and allow Pat Elfelin to stay at Center.
19.   Tennessee Titans – DL Christian Wilkins, Clemson: A few years ago the Titans took a Clemson defensive lineman in Kevin Dodd and it was thought of as a steal. While this won’t be a steal, it also won’t end up the same as Dodd’s poor career. Wilkins is a beast in the middle and should be at least a solid starter for awhile.
20.   Pittsburgh Steelers – CB Byron Murphy, Washington: What an awful pick Artie Burns was a few years back. It was shocking and the awful reviews turned out to be correct. Byron is a solid safe player that will be playing for the Steelers for awhile. He won’t be as flashy as Greedy Williams will, but the Steelers just need something solid for now to shore up their awful secondary.
21.   Seattle Seahawks – CB Greedy Williams, Louisiana State: Seattle doesn’t have the biggest need at corner (although you can always use a shutdown defender), but this just feels like such a Carrol/Schneider pick. A young ballhawk to play on the outside and dominate these young NFC West QBs (Goff, Kyler, JimmyG is young in snaps).
22.   Baltimore Ravens – LB Devin Bush, Michigan: I don’t know if this is such an old Baltimore regime type pick but they love getting their defensive studs and with CJ Mosley going to Gang Green here is a great backer for the rangy Ravens.
23.   Houston Texans – OT Andre Dillard, Washington State: This makes all the sense. Texans need to do anything to help Deshaun Watson stay healthy and on his feet. They’ve met with Andre twice and he is the best OL on the board by a good margin.
24.   Oakland Raiders – TE TJ Hockenson, Iowa: Another player that I feel like fell way too far but that the QBs make drop. The Raiders somehow get a player that could be drafted in the top 10 by the Lions or Bills or Broncos. He won’t last this long but anything is possible on draft night.
25.   Philadelphia Eagles – CB Rock Ya-Sin, Temple: The later the draft goes, the harder it gets to slot picks in because these teams don’t have many obvious holes. The Eagles secondary however could be worked on. Another home ball player that even plays his home games at the Linc. I expect that Philly will have done their homework and this is about the beginning of Ya-Sin’s range.
26.   Indianapolis Colts – DT Jeffery Simmmons, Mississippi St: In my opinion, Jeffery is one of the biggest reasons for Montez Sweat’s success. Constantly in double teams but he falls so far because he tore his ACL in the draft process. I don’t know if he will fall as Sidney Jones did a few years ago because of his supreme talent. I really hope the Dolphins have a shot at him in the 2nd but I doubt he lasts that long.
27.   Oakland Raiders – DL Clelin Ferrell, Clemson – Probably one of the best guys still on the board and at a position that the Raiders are lacking a bit (at least they got 2 1st rounders from Chicago). Ferrell was on one of the best DLs college football has seen in awhile. This should be a solid pick and a little more comforting knowing they got two top 10 talent guys (Q Williams and Hockenson) as well as an additional edge rushers. Great first draft for Mayock and Gruden.
28.   Los Angeles Chargers - DL Dre’Mont Jones, Ohio State: I’m at the point of the mock where you aren’t reading anymore and I’m running out of people that I know to put here on teams that are to be honest pretty stacked. The Chargers have more or less zero holes but you can always use more big bodies.
29.   Kansas City Chiefs – S Johnathan Abraham, Mississippi State: Kansas City lost their emotional leader in Eric Berry. While Abraham didn’t beat cancer TWICE, this player is one of the most emotional trash talkers on the field. The Chiefs need a dog in their secondary because to be honest it looks like it is just puppys back there.
30.   Green Bay Packers – OG Cody Ford, Oklahoma – This guy can literally go anywhere. I’ve seen him as high as pick 11 to a 2nd rounder. I fully expect the Packers to be pumped to get a replacement for Brian Bulaga after his retirement.
31.   Los Angeles Rams – TE Noah Fant, Iowa: Why not? The rich get richer right? I don’t see a lot of immediate needs. Maybe pass rusher but there aren’t a ton that are of a great value like Fant here. I’m sure the Patriots are pissed HAHA TOO BAD NEW ENGLAND.
32.   New England Patriots – DL Dexter Lawrence, Clemson: And it isn’t like the Patriots still don’t get a great player. Lawrence is a smaller DT but he is a bully. Belichick will figure it out with him I’m sure which is just plain annoying.
Sources: WalterFootball.com, Matt Miller Bleacher Report Big Board, my brain

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